The companies most likely to get driverless cars on the road very first
RANKED: The eighteen companies most likely to get self-driving cars on the road very first
2016 was a big year for self-driving cars.
Alphabet’s self-driving car unit officially became its own independent company, Waymo. Tesla says its cars now come with hardware that will support utter autonomy when the regulatory environment permits it. That doesn’t even mention the various startups, like AutoX, now vying for a foothold in the space.
Navigant Research assessed all the self-driving-car players and has released its leadership grid showcasing who is most poised to bring Level Two, Level Three, and Level four self-driving cars to market in the next decade. Navigant very first released its leadership grid in the third-quarter of 2015, but says in its report that the “landscape for automated driving has advanced significantly” since then.В
(For reference, Level two and three autonomous systems refers to vehicles that can treat some elaborate driving tasks, but still primarily rely on a driver. Level four autonomy refers to cars that can drive themselves without any human intervention, but only in certain geographic regions. You can get a better breakdown here.)
Companies on the the Leadership Grid were assessed on ten criteria: vision; go-to market strategy; playmates; production strategy; technology; product capability; sales, marketing & distribution; product quality and reliability; product portfolio; staying power. The companies were then given an overall score out of one hundred based on their spectacle in each category.
Scores were boosted for those who have announced Level two autonomy plans for two thousand seventeen or two thousand eighteen as well as for companies that have publicly demonstrated Level four autonomy.
Scroll down to see the eighteen companies slated to get their autonomous systems to market very first, ranked:
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Eighteen. Baidu
Baidu, a Chinese internet company, has been publicly testing its self-driving-car technology since 2015. In December of that year, a BMW 3-series modified with the company’s autonomous tech ended an Legal.3-mile route, performing tasks like lane switches and u-turns.
Baidu alsoВ let members of the public take rails in a fleet of electrified cars retroffited with driverless tech in November 2016, but the trial only lasted a week. The company has an autonomous testing permit in California and an office in Sunnyvale.
The Beijing-based company plans to produce a limited number of autonomous vehicles for a collective shuttle service in 2018. It plans to mass produce self-driving cars in 2021.
Navigant Research gave Baidu an overall score of 47.1 out of a possible 100, noting that the company ended its partnership with BMW in November of last year.
17. nuTonomy
NuTonomy, a Boston-based startup spun out of MIT in 2013, has been calmly making big moves in the self-driving-car space.В
In August 2016, nuTonomy became the very first company to launch a fleet of self-driving taxis under a pilot program in Singapore. The startup has since expanded that trial to its home city of Boston in November of last year.
NuTonomy has raised $20 million in venture funding through 2016. Investors include the government of Singapore and Fontinalis Playmates, a venture fund founded Bill Ford, the executive chairman of Ford.
Navigant Research gave nuTonomy an overall score of 51.6 out of a possible 100.
16. Uber
Despite drawing a lot of attention when it launched its self-driving-car pilot in Pittsburgh last September, Uber is relatively low on Navigant’s list.
Uber set up shop in Pittsburgh after poaching several robotics experts from Carnegie Mellon in May 2015. After launching itsВ Pittsburgh trial in September, Uber now also runsВ one in Arizona.
In December, Uber got into a public dispute with the California DMV after launchingВ a self-driving-car pilot in San Francisco without very first obtaining an autonomous vehicles testing permit. Uber left California for Arizona after the DMV revoked registration of its sixteen self-driving Volvo XC90s.
In January, Uber formed a partnership with Daimler. “This could be a hedge by Uber in the event that its in-house technology development does not work out — or if it proves to be too
expensive to operate its own fleet of vehicles,” Navigant wrote in its report.
Waymo is suing Uber, claiming the ride-hailing service stole the intellectual property for its lidar system.
Navigant Research gave Uber an overall score of 54.Five out of a possible 100.
15. Honda
Honda has taken a conservative treatment to self-driving cars.
The company is more focused on expanding its assisted driving features in its current vehicles rather than pushing for utter autonomy. Honda has an autonomous vehicles testing permit in California, but only tested on closed courses in 2016, Navigant wrote in its report.
However, Waymo is presently considering partnering with Honda. Honda would most likely supply vehicles for Waymo’s test fleet.
Navigant Research gave Honda an overall score of 55.1 out of a possible 100.
14. ZF
German auto supplier ZF is remarkably high on Navigant’s list.В
Its score was largely boosted following ZF CEOВ Stefan Sommer announcementВ at CES two thousand seventeen that it will commercialize NVIDIA’s PX2 processing platform with its self-driving system, ProAI. ZF is therefore the very first company to bring the NVIDIA computing platform into production.В ProAI is slated to emerge in production vehicles in 2020.
ZF also acquired TRW, a Michigan-based supplier of automated systems, in 2015.
Navigant Research gave ZF an overall score of sixty four out of a possible 100.
13. Toyota
Albeit Toyota is taking a more conservative treatment to self-driving cars than other companies, the Japanese automakerВ is investing strenuously inВ autonomous driving features.
That’s most apparent by the company’s five-year, $1 billion investment in the Toyota Research Insistute. The TRI was launched with the mandate of making a car incapable of causing a crash.
Navigant wrote in its report that as one of the world’s largest and most profitable OEMs, Toyota has the resources and expertise to make fully automated vehicles.
Navigant Research gave Toyota an overall score of 64.Two out of a possible 100.
12. Tesla
That’s right, Tesla didn’t make the top ten in Navigant’s report.
Albeit Tesla’s self-driving features have come a long way, Navigant said there were reasons to doubt the automaker’s capability to achieve Level four autonomy.
Tesla cars are presently being built with fresh hardware that will improve Tesla Autopilot, renaming the system Autopilot Two, and set the foundation for total autonomy. A Tesla will drive itself from Los Angeles to Fresh York before the end of two thousand seventeen to demonstrate the technology.
Crash rates for Tesla cars have plummeted 40% since Autopilot was very first installed in 2015.
But Navigant wrote in its report that Tesla’s Autopilot system has faced its challenges, including a fatal accident in May while the system was activated. The National Highway Traffic Safety administration said Autopilot was not at fault because the driver had ample time to intervene and prevent the accident, but as the Navigant report notes, there’s a history of drivers misusing Autopilot and engaging in other tasks while it’s on.
Navigant also wrote it’s skeptical Tesla will achieve total Level four autonomy without embracing lidar technology, a sensor that shoots lasers so cars can detect obstacles.
Navigant Research gave Tesla an overall score of 64.Five out of a possible 100.
11. PSA
PSA is the second-largest car manufacturer in Europe and is planning to have fully driverless cars on the road in 2020. Four of the automaker’s self-driving cars drove three hundred sixty miles inbetween Paris and Bordeaux in France in October 2015.
ZF announced in two thousand sixteen it will supply cameras, radar, and software for PSA vehicles with self-driving capabilities. Those cars will hit roads in 2018.
Navigant Research gave PSA an overall score of 65.Three out of a possible 100.
Ten. Hyundai Motor Group
Hyundai has been deploying advanced driver assistance systems, like lane-keep assist, in vehicles like the two thousand sixteen Elantra. Hyundai plans to have a suite of self-driving features in production vehicles in 2020, but won’t commit to utter autonomy until 2030.
At CES 2017, Hyundai showcased an autonomous prototype of its Ioniq electrical car.
Navigant Research gave Hyundai an overall score of 66.Four out of a possible 100.
9. Delphi
Delphi, an auto electronics supplier, aims to release self-driving vehiclesВ to the public in 2022. Delphi’s autonomous Audi, pictured above, made a cross-country excursion across the US in 2015.
Delphi also signed a deal with Intel in November 2016, agreeing to buy its high-powered computer processors for self-driving systems. Intel recently acquired autonomous tech company Mobileye in a deal worth $15.Trio billion.
“Delphi is the highest ranking automotive supplier in this edition of the Leaderboard Report,
having rapidly moved to the forefront of automated driving development over the past
Trio years,” Navigant wrote in its report.
Navigant Research gave Delphi an overall score of 70.7 out of a possible 100.
8. Volvo
Volvo said it plans to make its cars “deathproof” by two thousand twenty by rolling out semi-autonomous features over time.
The Swedish automaker is letting families test self-drivingВ Volvos in Gothenburg, Sweden and London this year as part of its Drive Me program. Volvo will also conduct anВ “advanced autonomous driving experiment” in China, where one hundred volunteers will be able to test driverless Volvo XC90s on public roads, but the automaker hasn’t said when that trial will begin.
Volvo and Uber agreed to a $300 million alliance in August to develop autonomous vehicles, which are presently being tested in Arizona.
Navigant Research gave Volvo an overall score of 73.Four out of a possible 100.
7. Waymo
Since launching in two thousand nine as Google’s self-driving-car project, Waymo’s cars have driven over two million miles autonomously.В
Waymo has partnered with Fiat Chrysler and there are reports that the two will launch a robot taxi service by the end of 2017. The company is also building all of its hardware in-house, permitting it to slash the price of its lidar system by 90%, Waymo says. Lidar is notoriously expensive and high-end systems can cost as much as $75,000 a pop.
Waymo doesn’t intend to build vehicles, but toВ provide its autonomous platform to other companies through partnerships.
Navigant Research gave Waymo an overall score of 73.Four out of a possible 100. That’s the same score as Volvo, but Waymo edged out Volvo in execution.
6. BMW
BMW has released advanced driver assistance tech in its luxury vehicles, like the BMW 7-Series and 5-Series, pictured above. For example, its Driver Assistant Plus package offers lane-keep assist, parking assist, and traffic jam assist.
BMW plans to release a fully driverless car in two thousand twenty one and has teamed up with Intel and Mobileye to do so.
Navigant Research gave Waymo an overall score of 75.Two out of a possible 100.
Five. Volkswagen Group
That’s right, we’re on to the Top Five!
Volkswagen Group has been developing autonomous systems ever since winning the DARPA grand challenge in 2006. Volkswagen’s brand Audi was the very first company to receive an autonomous driving permit in Nevada in two thousand twelve and has also obtained one in California.
In 2015, an Audi A7 drove five hundred fifty miles in autopilot mode from Silicon Valley to Las Vegas.
Audi recently announced it was teaming up with NVIDIAВ to bring self-driving cars to market in 2020.
Navigant Research gave Volkswagen Group an overall score of 75.9 out of a possible 100.
Four. Daimler
Daimler clinched fourth place for installing a suite of semi-autonomous features in brands like its Mercedes S-Class and E-Class cars.
Additionally, aВ Mercedes big-rig truck made history in two thousand fifteen when it drove itself on a public highway in 2015. Daimler aims to have its driverless trucks road-ready in 2020.
“Daimler is likely to proceed as a leader in technology development; however, its position
as a premium brand makes it inherently less accessible to mainstream audiences,” Navigant wrote in its report.
Navigant Research gave DaimlerВ an overall score of 77.7 out of a possible 100.
Trio. Renault-Nissan Alliance
The automaker has released ProPILOT, a self-driving feature that lets cars drive autonomously on highways, in its production vehicles in Japan. Renault-Nissan also plans to roll out ProPILOTВ in Europe, the US, and China as well. Its ultimate aim isВ to keep adding autonomous features to ProPILOT until it’s cars are fully self-driving in 2020.
Nissan is presently exploring using call centers so someone on standby can intervene if its self-driving car can’t treat a certain driving script.
Navigant Research gave Renault-Nissan an overall score of eighty two out of a possible 100.
Two. General Motors
GM has made several, big investments in self-driving cars.
The Detroit-based automaker invested $500 million in Lyft in January two thousand sixteen to create a network of ride-hailing, self-driving vehicles. GM also acquired self-driving-car startup Cruise Automation for $581 million in July 2016.
GM CEO Mary Barra said in December that the company will embark testing its self-driving Chevy Bolt electrified cars in Michigan. The company is also testing its cars in San Francisco and Scottsdale, Arizona.
Barra told Business Insider’s Cadie Thompson that its very first self-driving car for public use will be its all-electric Chevy Bolt. She also said GM is focused on testing its cars on different road conditions to ensure safety.
“A lot of the conversation has been about, ‘Oh, we have this many miles,’ but it’s not as much about the miles as it is about the practices that the car learns,” she told Business Insider.
Navigant Research gave General MotorsВ an overall score of 84.8 out of a possible 100.
1. Ford
Lastly, that brings us to our leader: Ford.
The Detroit-based automaker aims to roll out a fleet of driverless vehicles in a ride-hailing or -sharing service in 2021. Ford is trippling the size of its autonomous test fleet to one hundred cars this year, which are presently being tested in Arizona, Michigan, and California.
“What we have said is, we may not be the very first, but when we do, it will be true to our brand, which means accessibility,” Ford CEO Mark Fields told Business Insider in March 2016. “We want to make sure it’s available to everyone, and not just folks who can afford luxury cars.”
Ford has been pursuing autonomous vehicles since it entered the DARPA Grand Challenge in 2005.
Ford and Baidu invested $150 million in Velodyne, a lidar manufacturer, in 2016. In February, Ford invested $1 billion (to be spread out over five years) in Argo AI, a secretive artificial intelligence startup based in Pittsburgh, to aid its autonomous car efforts.
Navigant Research gave FordВ an overall score of eighty five out of a possible 100.
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